Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 75.576533 84.932735 94.504516 104.997408 116.145665 127.607508 140.253207
2025-05-25 60.324055 73.668470 87.947406 104.232775 122.167820 141.203349 162.822477
2025-06-01 51.671440 67.228761 84.438237 104.620484 127.390588 152.060219 180.589940
2025-06-08 44.149002 61.043103 80.322360 103.505476 130.215929 159.661433 194.225567
2025-06-15 39.529704 57.657801 78.906434 104.993940 135.562846 169.724880 210.288439
2025-06-22 35.772249 54.893360 77.870808 106.613674 140.797907 179.451895 225.797866
2025-06-29 31.360951 50.890081 74.996382 105.746995 142.877528 185.360329 236.788446
2025-07-06 26.873936 46.377035 71.156993 103.417309 142.975099 188.769390 244.731528
2025-07-13 25.505858 45.883055 72.273324 107.083037 150.183001 200.442611 262.217668
2025-07-20 23.686975 44.600444 72.250288 109.229108 155.478299 209.814738 276.994390
2025-07-27 21.078592 41.976907 70.302364 108.804156 157.520270 215.243372 287.084034
2025-08-03 18.614431 39.342760 68.172761 108.006951 158.991211 219.904842 296.202507
2025-08-10 16.860571 37.655651 67.263214 108.766143 162.417001 226.972386 308.270248
2025-08-17 14.844027 35.373633 65.400199 108.174867 164.076810 231.859846 317.720421
2025-08-24 13.316407 33.726330 64.323107 108.541121 166.884485 238.099747 328.758933
2025-08-31 11.529496 31.453930 62.211668 107.406389 167.688769 241.821291 336.718788
2025-09-07 10.598710 30.574496 62.080883 108.926736 171.888557 249.717512 349.727764
2025-09-14 9.780356 29.813809 62.074468 110.581878 176.241599 257.794979 362.959809
2025-09-21 8.459359 27.957479 60.301144 109.696326 177.211338 261.615314 370.972177
2025-09-28 6.973084 25.561136 57.547751 107.315641 176.120960 262.787746 375.688618
2025-10-05 6.813903 25.876787 59.083067 111.061410 183.185491 274.249545 393.082187
2025-10-12 6.375334 25.545221 59.550684 113.253815 188.168282 283.082940 407.247149
2025-10-19 5.515271 24.166713 58.243288 112.819718 189.588161 287.375014 415.786189